John Passant

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September 2010
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Miniposts

The Greens: Opportunities for the Left?
The swing of 3.7 % to the Greens gives them almost 12% nationally. It offers the left an opportunity to argue our case with those who will become disillusioned with the Greens and their incapacity to fundamentally change anything. They support the profit system which is the root cause of our problems – climate change, war, poverty. They are unwilling to mobilise mass support in the streets for climate change, refugees, jobs. I hope I am wrong. However I made the same point about Obama before he was elected. I was right. (0)

Some questions for Abbott and Gillard
And when the boats keep coming (a good thing), and interest rates go up, and unemployment skyrockets, and GDP falls, and climate change wreaks more and more havoc on our planet, and the Taliban win in Afghanistan, what then? A retreat further into reaction and the politics of fear and attacking the victims even more? (2)

There is no red ink
‘In an old joke from the defunct German Democratic Republic, an engineer gets a job in Siberia. Aware of how all mail will be read by censors, he establishes a code with his friends: “If a letter is written in blue ink, it is true; in red ink, false.” ‘His first letter, written in blue ink, began: “Everything is wonderful: stores full, food abundant, apartments large and heated, movie theatres show films from the West – the only thing unavailable is red ink.” ‘ Zizek: The colour of truth. (0)

Tax the mining companies to keep interest rates down

One of the best ways to keep interest rates down would be to properly tax resource rents. Thanks for the forthcoming interest rate rises Julia and Tony and Markus, Tom, Twiggy and Clive.
(0)

What will socialism be like?
 There is a beauty in not having to rush to work but rather enjoy the morning at human pace, not capitalism’s pace. Holidays are what socialism will be like, I imagine. Minus all the democracy. (0)

Greece: what is happening?
Under threat of civil conscription Greek truck workers voted narrowly to return to work. Rhys Williams gives his thoughts.  

I don’t think this outcome actually constitutes a defeat. The level of struggle in Greece is increasing every day and the drivers’ vote to return to work was only taken due to the fact that the drivers feared that a continued strike would result in the Government’s civil conscription of drivers and use of the Armed Forces. Reports from the drivers seem to suggest that they are still incredibly militant and ready to strike again if needed. The drivers stopped their strike not out of defeat but because of tactical considerations. Other strikes are coming up in the next few weeks and I hear another general strike is planned. Workers in Macedonia , Slovakia, and elsewhere across the Balkans are also beginning to strike in solidarity with Greece and due to their own austerity measures . Interesting things are also developing in Spain, France, Britain and Germany. The fight back across Europe is entering a new phase. It is not, however, slowing down.
(0)

Unscripted?
So Julia Gillard is going to tear up the script and be herself. I can’t help but think this is a scripted campaign to be unscripted, probably the result of focus group analysis. (0)

Blood on Gates' hands
A headline from today’s Australian: ‘Wikileaks may have blood on its hands already, says Gates.’ What, unlike Gates and Obama? (1)

Election 2010: There is no choice - build a socialist alternative
I will be talking about the elections at the University of Canberra on Wednesday 18 August at 1 pm in 22 B 25 (ie room 25 on level B of Building 22 above the retro cafe). Election 2010: There is no choice – build a socialist alternative. (4)

Gillard's gender pay gap
Evidently Julia Gillard has the interests of working people and retirees at heart.  So I ask her to explain her role as Employment and Workplace Relations Minister and Deputy Prime Minister for almost 3 years in addressing the gender pay gap? Under Labor it actually increased to 18.2%. So apart from platitudes, what will Prime Minister Gillard offer to redress the imbalance and cut the gender pay gap to zero by 2013 if she is re-elected? Or could it be that such a policy would be too costly for her key supporters – business? So she will talk about equal pay for equal work but do nothing.  Add equal pay to the mining tax, climate change. WorkChoices Lite, the Australian Building and Construction Commission and many other examples of Gillard and Labor not being prepared to upset their real masters – the rich and powerful. (0)

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The Business Council has a plan – make working people pay

The Business Council of Australia has a plan – a plan to make the poor and working people of Australia pay for the crises of capitalism.

In its Budget submission the BCA argues the Government must reduce the budget deficit. 

This fear of deficits is a conservative furphy. Our Government debt is one of the lowest in the developed world as a percentage of GDP and contrary to Barnaby Joyce’s calamitous caterwauling, we are not going to default on it.

And the Government will argue, perhaps with a modicum of truth, that its $52 bn stimulus package helped Australia avoid recession (for the time being anyway).

The Business Council wants the Government to stop approving any more stimulus spending.  Yet there is little evidence that big business has systematically taken the place of Government in generating growth and jobs.

The BCA also wants the Government to tighten eligibility and/or means test some of the top spending programs. They won’t actually nominate which ones, but ABC radio’s Stephen Long helpfully gave us a list. In an interview with Peter Crone from the BCA Long said:

Leave aside payments to the states and the top 10 in that list of programs includes in descending order: the aged pension, family tax benefits, Medicare, disability pensions, unemployment benefits and pharmaceutical benefits.

Tightening eligibility and means testing is code for cutting these programs. If the BCA has its way less people will be getting the pension, Medicare, subsidised medicines and unemployment and disability payments. 

The left should argue for the universality of benefits and a tax system which taxes the rich. To support means testing is to support attacks on ordinary workers and the less well off.

The BCA doesn’t mention cutting defence spending, which under Rudd Labor is set to increase 3 percent in real terms per annum for the next 7 years.

Something else the BCA doesn’t mention is tax expenditures. These are disguised grants through the tax system.  Treasury estimates that about $100 bn in revenue is foregone through this disguised grants system. Much of this hidden expenditure goes to business.

Disguised expenditures for business good, pensions bad, BCA? 

Labor is already doing some of what the BCA suggests with its attacks on family benefits and pension eligibility, not to mention increasing the pension age to 67.

The BCA wants to go further. While it says it doesn’t support raising the pension age to 73 ‘at this stage’, it thinks that is the sort of initiative governments will need to take to address the ageing population over the next 40 years.

The logic of capitalism is impeccable. The benefits of living longer are really costs. The bosses’ club want to make us work longer for living longer.

But isn’t the point of all these great new medical advances and technology meant to be so we can have better and longer lives to enjoy ourselves, not waste it working for bosses like the BCA?

Well actually no – the whole point of all these  advances and new productive ways of doing things is not to reduce the working week or retirement age – it’s to make profit for the BCA and their mates. That actually means increasing the working day and age of retirement to counteract low profit rates.

Labor is not going to adopt the BCA recommendations holus bolus. 

But because the ALP shares a conservative capitalist economic worldview with the BCA, it will take actions similar to those big capital suggests at a stage it judges convenient in both the political and economic cycles.

Lindsay Tanner is sharpening his razor.

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Comments

Comment from Dave Bath
Time February 18, 2010 at 10:32 pm

I wonder if the BCA would argue that consumers should do the same, never be in debt using the same logic. If so, we can get rid of the financial system and simply have a safe deposit scheme.

Comment from Leon Bertrand
Time February 19, 2010 at 11:50 am

“The left should argue for the universality of benefits and a tax system which taxes the rich. To support means testing is to support attacks on ordinary workers and the less well off.”

I would have thought that the left would support means testing, because they help the poor and ensure that rich people don’t get the same assistance.

In arguing for universal benefits, it would appear that you are at one with the Howard Government.

Comment from Marco
Time February 19, 2010 at 7:20 pm

At the moment, I don’t dare to state what could be the end result of this move by the BCA.

At one hand, the Rudd government is starting to feel that voter support is falling. This might make them reluctant to move openly to satisfy their corporate masters.

On the other hand, Rudd has boasted of being a “fiscal conservative” and we know what that means.

And Abbott and co are not beyond trying to depict themselves as champions of the oppressed: remember the short-lived “Abbott’s battlers”? They could resurrect it.

As the RBA will not be changing their policy of raising interest rates, the combination of higher interest rates, fiscal cuts and worsening global economic outlook could have severe recessive consequences by middle to end of the year.

These people should be grateful that stupidity, incompetence and greed are not crimes punishable by death.

Comment from Tristan Ewins
Time February 21, 2010 at 12:16 pm

Leon and other readers; The problem with targeting payments ever more tightly it that some people on middle and upper incomes come to resent this. The Conservatives in particular are adept at playing on peoples fears and resentments – to divide us against each other… Ultimately, this means the poor and vulnerable are marginalised – and mean-spirited sentiments amongst voters helps lead to austerity… Of course many in the business community prefer this – as austerity for the vulnerable frees up resources for corporate welfare. And by undermining the ‘safety net’, ordinary people will be more desperate to get any job – even with unfair wages and conditions… And the added vulnerability of pensions will add to this desperation… Ultimately, the result is downward pressure on wages and conditions – compounded by downward pressure of welfare and social services….

Comment from Leon Bertrand
Time February 22, 2010 at 1:17 pm

“The problem with targeting payments ever more tightly it that some people on middle and upper incomes come to resent this. The Conservatives in particular are adept at playing on peoples fears and resentments – to divide us against each other…”

The problem with your account is that the Howard Government was for universal benefits. It’s the Rudd Government which has made tentative moves to means-test.

Comment from John
Time February 23, 2010 at 8:12 am

Leon, it’s a good question you raise. I’ll respond when I get time and am not distracted by other matters, perhaps through an article on the universality of benefits coupled with a re-introduction of a progressive tax system.